GENTWO Blog

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05.09.2019
Monthly Pulse #09 19: The global economy continues to be sluggish

The latest economic data from the Eurozone points to continued weakness. The situation is particularly worrying in the manufacturing sector. In recent weeks, the escalation screw in the trade conflict between the US and China has continued to turn.

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06.08.2019
Monthly Pulse #08 19: FED cuts interest rates for the first time since December 2008 by 25 basis points

Markets expected more of a dovish stance in terms of the Forward Guidance though and took Powell’s statement as somewhat hawkish. The question will however remain: was this an insurance cut or rather a beginning of an easing cycle?

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03.07.2019
Monthly Pulse #07 19: Leading economic indicators have weakened further

In the wake of the intensification of the trade conflict between the USA and China, the leading economic indicators have weakened further. Despite of the reset during the G20 summit, trade war will be an ongoing concern.

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01.06.2019
Monthly Pulse #06 19: Fundamentals have taken a backseat in recent weeks

It comes as no surprise that fundamentals have taken a backseat in recent weeks. Markets fluctuate between hopes and fears in the all-dominant trade conflict. Although investors agree economic and financial risks have increased due to the intensification of the trade conflict, they do not wish to write off the possibility of a later settlement in the trade conflict.

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02.05.2019
Monthly Pulse #05 19: Central banks have the room to be patient

The FED stays in its patient and neutral stance. As core inflation remains muted in many countries, despite higher wage growth, central banks have the room to be patient. Markets are still pricing in two cuts by end of 2020. If history is anything to go by, they will not shift back to a tightening bias anytime soon.

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02.04.2019
Monthly Pulse #04 19: Brexit. It is a complete mess

Despite the rather positive on-going stock markets, we are clearly facing a deteriorating economic growth with indicators worsening. Brexit and the still unsolved trade conflict between the US and China further increase insecurities. So, why are investors fairly calm these days? An Economic Outlook published by Clarus Capital Group AG.

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04.03.2019
Monthly Pulse #03 19: Risks are clearly on the down-side

February showed mixed signs with stock markets in a wait-and-see mode. Even though the macro picture is facing headwind such as deteriorating growth, some of the leading indicators in the US and Europe show surprisingly resilience. An Economic Outlook published by Clarus Capital Group AG.

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