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Lately the noise about risks eased. The EU and UK agreed on a further extension of Brexit in mid-October, and trade talks between US and China are currently promising. But these may be short-term effects and could reverse quickly. Central banks around the globe maintain their expansive route to counter weak economic activity and low inflation.Learn More
In recent weeks, geopolitical risks have decreased on various fronts. In the trade dispute between the US and China as well, much more conciliatory tone has been struck recently. However, it is still too early to assume that the situation will ease in the long term.Learn More
The latest economic data from the Eurozone points to continued weakness. The situation is particularly worrying in the manufacturing sector. In recent weeks, the escalation screw in the trade conflict between the US and China has continued to turn.Learn More
Markets expected more of a dovish stance in terms of the Forward Guidance though and took Powell’s statement as somewhat hawkish. The question will however remain: was this an insurance cut or rather a beginning of an easing cycle?Learn More
In the wake of the intensification of the trade conflict between the USA and China, the leading economic indicators have weakened further. Despite of the reset during the G20 summit, trade war will be an ongoing concern.Learn More
It comes as no surprise that fundamentals have taken a backseat in recent weeks. Markets fluctuate between hopes and fears in the all-dominant trade conflict. Although investors agree economic and financial risks have increased due to the intensification of the trade conflict, they do not wish to write off the possibility of a later settlement in the trade conflict.Learn More
The FED stays in its patient and neutral stance. As core inflation remains muted in many countries, despite higher wage growth, central banks have the room to be patient. Markets are still pricing in two cuts by end of 2020. If history is anything to go by, they will not shift back to a tightening bias anytime soon.Learn More
Despite the rather positive on-going stock markets, we are clearly facing a deteriorating economic growth with indicators worsening. Brexit and the still unsolved trade conflict between the US and China further increase insecurities. So, why are investors fairly calm these days? An Economic Outlook published by Clarus Capital Group AG.Learn More
February showed mixed signs with stock markets in a wait-and-see mode. Even though the macro picture is facing headwind such as deteriorating growth, some of the leading indicators in the US and Europe show surprisingly resilience. An Economic Outlook published by Clarus Capital Group AG.Learn More
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